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Research study · 2020

Preferences for COVID‑19 epidemic control measures among French adults: a discrete choice experiment

Explore the published experiment and its available replication evidence.

Jonathan Sicsic · Sicsic2023

Read the paper ↗

01 / Human finding

What the study found

A reviewed summary is not available in this registry. Consult the published paper for the original finding.

Answer-key review: Not reviewed

02 / Experiment design

Who chose, and what varied

Country
France
Human respondents
Not recorded
Attributes
5
Task
discrete choice

03 / Synthetic replication

Registry replication results

Current replication

Spearman rank correlation

Not measured

No current measurement is available in this registry.

Paper-era reference

2023 CLM mean Spearman ρ

Not measured

Historical results use their original estimator and reference. They are not a matched comparison with the current run.

Detailed replication evidence · 2026-11-03

Wrong direction on 2 of 7 significant effects, partial ranking (ρ = 0.61); sizes not comparable (the paper reports logit coefficients).

Use it to generate hypotheses to test with people; sizes need the paper's respondent data, and confirm the 2 reversed effects with people.

Inspect the measured run ↗

direction
fails
rank
mixed
size
not comparable

Supported uses

  • Nothing yet without human confirmation.

Limits to keep in view

  • Ranking close levels against each other; the order diverges from humans.
  • Decisions that hinge on the attributes whose direction flipped (listed below).
  • Effect sizes in the paper's units; only direction, rank and shape are compared.

Effects on a common scale

Human effects: logit coefficient. Synthetic effects are multiplied by the record’s calibration factor, k = 3.5275. Calibration aligns magnitude; it does not establish agreement in unadjusted effect sizes.

● Human   ◆ Calibrated synthetic · Lines show human 95% intervals where available.
-0.8400.84Restriction measures on economic and social life: Closure of public spacesRestriction measures on economic and social…Restriction measures on economic and social life: Closure of public spaces + transport and officeRestriction measures on economic and social…Targeted lockdown: Targeted lockdown for sectors with high COVID-19 incidenceTargeted lockdown: Targeted lockdown for se…Homeschooling at high school: Homeschooling at high school for 2 weeksHomeschooling at high school: Homeschooling…Homeschooling at high school: Homeschooling at high school for 2 monthsHomeschooling at high school: Homeschooling…Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medically prescribed self-isolation (SI)Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medica…Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medically prescribed SI + restrictions for visits in nursing homesMedically prescribed self-isolation: Medica…Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Need to postpone elective surgeryMeasures to overcome the risk of ICU overlo…Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Need to postpone surgery + patient evacuationMeasures to overcome the risk of ICU overlo…
Human and calibrated synthetic effects
Attribute / levelHumanHuman 95% half-widthCalibrated synthetic
Restriction measures on economic and social life: No generalized closure measure (reference)0.000Not measured0.000
Restriction measures on economic and social life: Closure of public spaces0.208Not measured-0.047
Restriction measures on economic and social life: Closure of public spaces + transport and office0.106Not measured-0.093
Targeted lockdown: No targeted lockdown (reference)0.000Not measured0.000
Targeted lockdown: Targeted lockdown for sectors with high COVID-19 incidence0.378Not measured0.760
Homeschooling at high school: All teaching in-site (reference)0.000Not measured0.000
Homeschooling at high school: Homeschooling at high school for 2 weeks0.439Not measured0.517
Homeschooling at high school: Homeschooling at high school for 2 months0.314Not measured-0.135
Medically prescribed self-isolation: Information campaign on COVID-19 risk factors (reference)0.000Not measured0.000
Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medically prescribed self-isolation (SI)0.032Not measured0.339
Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medically prescribed SI + restrictions for visits in nursing homes0.377Not measured0.510
Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Measures to increase the number of health care workers available (reference)0.000Not measured0.000
Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Need to postpone elective surgery-0.477Not measured-0.215
Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Need to postpone surgery + patient evacuation-0.553Not measured-0.269

Subgroups · screen, not a result

Split by gender: no significant difference between the groups, so there is nothing to compare

screen, not a result. Each row is the male group’s effect minus the female group’s, human in logit, simulated on the simulation’s own scale, so compare direction, not size. A Jev fast-small screen makes no comparison claim.

Sign agreement
–
95% interval
no interval
Shuffle null
–
Shape ρ
–
Scale ratio
–
Respondents per group
GroupSimulated nPeople nρ vs paper
female80not given–
male70not given–
Group differences: male minus female
Attribute / levelPeople Δ (95%)SignificantSimulated Δ (own scale)Direction
Restriction measures on economic and social life: Closure of public spaces+0.03 ±0.08no-0.05 ±0.09not compared
Homeschooling at high school: Homeschooling at high school for 2 weeks+0.03 ±0.05no-0.05 ±0.08not compared
Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medically prescribed self-isolation (SI)-0.01 ±0.03no-0.06 ±0.09not compared
Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Need to postpone elective surgery-0.04 ±0.04no-0.02 ±0.08not compared
Restriction measures on economic and social life: Closure of public spaces + transport and office+0.06 ±0.16no-0.09 ±0.10not compared
Targeted lockdown: Targeted lockdown for sectors with high COVID-19 incidence+0.01 ±0.08no-0.03 ±0.07not compared
Homeschooling at high school: Homeschooling at high school for 2 months+0.05 ±0.10no+0.00 ±0.08not compared
Medically prescribed self-isolation: Medically prescribed SI + restrictions for visits in nursing homes+0.00 ±0.06no-0.00 ±0.08not compared
Measures to overcome the risk of ICU overload: Need to postpone surgery + patient evacuation-0.03 ±0.05no-0.01 ±0.08not compared

Interval: Wilson 95% on the significant differences. Shuffle null: groups reassigned at random among the simulated respondents. Scored from screen run a51df750-9d4d-4aa2-967c-db27adea15b5, W&B score ↗.

04 / Evidence and limitations

Follow the evidence

Missing results mean unmeasured, not zero agreement.

  • missing parent paper url
  • missing canonical pdf
  • missing historic score
  • missing resolved wandb run
Measurement provenance

Registry revision: 648f40378e9c. Estimator: ols.